by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 30 Jan 2024 | News
Abstract Aotearoa New Zealand implemented a Covid-19 elimination strategy in 2020 and 2021, which enabled a large majority of the population to be vaccinated before being exposed to the virus. This strategy delivered one of the lowest pandemic mortality rates in the...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 30 Jan 2024 | News
Introduction Near-term forecasting of infectious disease incidence and consequent demand for acute healthcare services can support capacity planning and public health responses. Despite well-developed scenario modelling to support the Covid-19 response, Aotearoa New...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 15 Dec 2023 | News
The following end of contract report was delivered to Manatū Hauora Ministry of Health at the end of August 2023. It covers the final year of Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa, with an additional, more comprehensive bibliography including all publications since the start of...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 3 Nov 2023 | News
Executive Summary This report provides a literature review of the risk factors for COVID-19 infection, and discusses the implications for Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ). Grounded in a theoretical framework outlined by Cevik and colleagues (2021), we detail how risk of...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 17 Aug 2023 | Contagion network modelling, Infectious disease modelling, Isolation policies, News, Ordinary differential equation modelling
This pair of reports were provided to the NZ Ministry of Health and the COVID-19 Modelling Government Steering Group on May 3rd, 2023 in response to a request on April 21st, 2023 for advice on the impact of changing case isolation policies. The six different isolation...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 30 Jun 2023 | News
This report presents advice delivered to the NZ Ministry of Health in December 2022. It was prepared in response to requests for modelling advice around how COVID-19 case numbers and hospitalisations might be affected by policy changes enacted at different dates in...