by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 20 Apr 2023 | Contagion network modelling, Equity and at-risk communities
Background This memo was provided to the NZ Ministry of Health on November 16th, 2022 in response to a request for rapid advice on November 15th, 2022. The memo presents results for specific scenarios of interest: case isolation of 7 days or 5 days with no...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 18 Apr 2023 | Ordinary differential equation modelling, Technical Report
Executive summary Since July 2022, Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa have been using a compartment-based ordinary differential equation (ODE) model to simulate the spread of Covid-19 in Aotearoa New Zealand. This age-structured model includes waning of vaccine-derived and...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 11 Apr 2023 | News
COVID-19 Modelling Aotearoa used a mathematical model to investigate the potential impact of shifting from mandatory COVID-19 case isolation to case isolation guidance on the number of infections, hospital admissions, and deaths over the next 6 months. Irrespective...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 1 Feb 2023 | Border risk, Branching process modelling, Equity and at-risk communities
Abstract For the first 18 months of the Covid-19 pandemic, New Zealand used an elimination strategy to suppress community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 to zero or very low levels. In late 2021, high vaccine coverage enabled the country to transition away from the...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 29 Nov 2022 | Branching process modelling
Abstract Epidemiological models range in complexity from relatively simple statistical models that make minimal assumptions about the variables driving epidemic dynamics to more mechanistic models that include effects such as vaccine-derived and infection-derived...
