by Admin | 18 Oct 2021 | Contagion network modelling
Report delivered 9 September 2021, this version compiled 15 October 2021. We use an individual-based, Aotearoa-specific Contagion Network Model (CNM) to simulate the spread of COVID-19 in the community for an outbreak comparable to that detected on 17 August 2021. The...
by Admin | 23 Sep 2021 | Branching process modelling
Updated modelling exploring how high rates of vaccine coverage might reduce the health burden from COVID-19 if combined with moderate public health measures to reduce transmission of the virus. Aotearoa New Zealand is on track to vaccinate upwards of 80% of those aged...
by Admin | 20 Sep 2021 | Contagion network modelling
This report details the methods used for calculating the estimated weekly incidence of COVID-19-like and influenza-like illness in Aotearoa New Zealand, using data from the FluTracking weekly survey. FluTracking is a participatory health surveillance system for...
by Admin | 16 Sep 2021 | Contagion network modelling
In the first weeks of the 2021 Auckland August Covid-19 outbreak, the contagion network team provided a number of reports to officials with estimates of the likely size of the outbreak and updates on the estimated effect of Alert Level interventions on curtailing...
by Admin | 15 Sep 2021 | Contagion network modelling
We use a range of data sources and analytic approaches to estimate the number of movements between regions of Aotearoa and to give some estimates of the risk of transmission of Covid-19 to regions outside of Auckland, during the early stages of the August 2021...
