by Admin | 2 Feb 2023 | Branching process modelling
Executive summary New Zealand experienced a wave of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in early 2022, which occurred against a backdrop of high two-dose vaccination rates, ongoing roll-out of boosters and paediatric doses, and negligible levels of prior infection. New...
by Admin | 26 Aug 2022 | Contagion network modelling, News
New modelling by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa suggests that testing with Rapid Antigen Tests before ending isolation for confirmed cases of Covid-19 would significantly decrease the risk of onward transmission, while allowing many people to isolate for shorter periods....
by Admin | 2 Jun 2022 | Branching process modelling
Executive summary Waning of infection-derived immunity means people become increasingly susceptible to being re-infected with SARS-CoV-2 over time. This waning creates the possibility of subsequent waves of infection, even after substantial population exposure, driven...
by Admin | 20 May 2022 | Border risk
The New Zealand Ministry of Health needs to assess the risk of Covid-19 infection among international travellers arriving in Aotearoa New Zealand, principally by air. The model described here assesses country level infection risk using daily infection rates among...
by Admin | 8 Feb 2022 | Branching process modelling
Executive summary The results in this report are a preliminary assessment of the potential impact of Omicron in New Zealand and are subject to significant uncertainty. This modelling was carried out before the detection of the Omicron outbreak on 23 January 2022....
